Live 2020 Election Turnout Tracker
Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.
First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.
Live Results
As of 8:42 AM, 31 voters in 12 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 120,636 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 69,587 - 393,236). In addition, 342,044 mail-in ballots have already been returned, and 93,385 are still outstanding.
Maps
I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.
Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In)
In-Person Turnout
Mail-In Requests
Mail-In Ballots Returned
Raw Responses (for debugging)
Submissions
Data Tables
For those of you who like tables with numbers. 
| ward | time_of_day | turnout | turnout_p025 | turnout_p975 |
| 01 | 8:42 AM | 1618 |
c(2.5% = 1172)
|
c(97.5% = 2662)
|
| 02 | 8:42 AM | 2573 |
c(2.5% = 1874)
|
c(97.5% = 4042)
|
| 03 | 8:42 AM | 1334 |
c(2.5% = 851)
|
c(97.5% = 3776)
|
| 04 | 8:42 AM | 1324 |
c(2.5% = 769)
|
c(97.5% = 4082)
|
| 05 | 8:42 AM | 3605 |
c(2.5% = 2534)
|
c(97.5% = 6217)
|
| 06 | 8:42 AM | 794 |
c(2.5% = 610)
|
c(97.5% = 1786)
|
| 07 | 8:42 AM | 1023 |
c(2.5% = 235)
|
c(97.5% = 12323)
|
| 08 | 8:42 AM | 3852 |
c(2.5% = 2710)
|
c(97.5% = 6670)
|
| 09 | 8:42 AM | 1876 |
c(2.5% = 1379)
|
c(97.5% = 3228)
|
| 10 | 8:42 AM | 1648 |
c(2.5% = 1246)
|
c(97.5% = 3436)
|
| 11 | 8:42 AM | 845 |
c(2.5% = 481)
|
c(97.5% = 3006)
|
| 12 | 8:42 AM | 1310 |
c(2.5% = 882)
|
c(97.5% = 3281)
|
| 13 | 8:42 AM | 1229 |
c(2.5% = 779)
|
c(97.5% = 3477)
|
| 14 | 8:42 AM | 504 |
c(2.5% = 376)
|
c(97.5% = 1005)
|
| 15 | 8:42 AM | 1984 |
c(2.5% = 1487)
|
c(97.5% = 3164)
|
| 16 | 8:42 AM | 757 |
c(2.5% = 374)
|
c(97.5% = 3441)
|
| 17 | 8:42 AM | 1551 |
c(2.5% = 995)
|
c(97.5% = 4240)
|
| 18 | 8:42 AM | 1485 |
c(2.5% = 984)
|
c(97.5% = 2575)
|
| 19 | 8:42 AM | 752 |
c(2.5% = 243)
|
c(97.5% = 6457)
|
| 20 | 8:42 AM | 745 |
c(2.5% = 293)
|
c(97.5% = 8262)
|
| 21 | 8:42 AM | 4917 |
c(2.5% = 2817)
|
c(97.5% = 10303)
|
| 22 | 8:42 AM | 1943 |
c(2.5% = 1556)
|
c(97.5% = 3395)
|
| 23 | 8:42 AM | 1442 |
c(2.5% = 671)
|
c(97.5% = 5484)
|
| 24 | 8:42 AM | 973 |
c(2.5% = 568)
|
c(97.5% = 2572)
|
| 25 | 8:42 AM | 1763 |
c(2.5% = 590)
|
c(97.5% = 8542)
|
| 26 | 8:42 AM | 2076 |
c(2.5% = 1066)
|
c(97.5% = 5386)
|
| 27 | 8:42 AM | 1754 |
c(2.5% = 825)
|
c(97.5% = 7460)
|
| 28 | 8:42 AM | 783 |
c(2.5% = 399)
|
c(97.5% = 3494)
|
| 29 | 8:42 AM | 769 |
c(2.5% = 514)
|
c(97.5% = 2915)
|
| 30 | 8:42 AM | 1320 |
c(2.5% = 1132)
|
c(97.5% = 2032)
|
| 31 | 8:42 AM | 1413 |
c(2.5% = 930)
|
c(97.5% = 2466)
|
| 32 | 8:42 AM | 1211 |
c(2.5% = 628)
|
c(97.5% = 4472)
|
| 33 | 8:42 AM | 1255 |
c(2.5% = 331)
|
c(97.5% = 10384)
|
| 34 | 8:42 AM | 2570 |
c(2.5% = 1838)
|
c(97.5% = 5393)
|
| 35 | 8:42 AM | 2062 |
c(2.5% = 943)
|
c(97.5% = 7646)
|
| 36 | 8:42 AM | 2022 |
c(2.5% = 1447)
|
c(97.5% = 4023)
|
| 37 | 8:42 AM | 841 |
c(2.5% = 398)
|
c(97.5% = 3866)
|
| 38 | 8:42 AM | 1483 |
c(2.5% = 1009)
|
c(97.5% = 3358)
|
| 39 | 8:42 AM | 4383 |
c(2.5% = 2261)
|
c(97.5% = 10118)
|
| 40 | 8:42 AM | 2542 |
c(2.5% = 1529)
|
c(97.5% = 6237)
|
| 41 | 8:42 AM | 2001 |
c(2.5% = 681)
|
c(97.5% = 11562)
|
| 42 | 8:42 AM | 1352 |
c(2.5% = 582)
|
c(97.5% = 5703)
|
| 43 | 8:42 AM | 1096 |
c(2.5% = 417)
|
c(97.5% = 6182)
|
| 44 | 8:42 AM | 894 |
c(2.5% = 517)
|
c(97.5% = 2745)
|
| 45 | 8:42 AM | 1974 |
c(2.5% = 800)
|
c(97.5% = 9580)
|
| 46 | 8:42 AM | 1517 |
c(2.5% = 1276)
|
c(97.5% = 2470)
|
| 47 | 8:42 AM | 475 |
c(2.5% = 275)
|
c(97.5% = 1488)
|
| 48 | 8:42 AM | 1268 |
c(2.5% = 715)
|
c(97.5% = 3349)
|
| 49 | 8:42 AM | 1443 |
c(2.5% = 879)
|
c(97.5% = 4035)
|
| 50 | 8:42 AM | 2031 |
c(2.5% = 1610)
|
c(97.5% = 3654)
|
| 51 | 8:42 AM | 1317 |
c(2.5% = 851)
|
c(97.5% = 3706)
|
| 52 | 8:42 AM | 1847 |
c(2.5% = 1437)
|
c(97.5% = 3813)
|
| 53 | 8:42 AM | 1725 |
c(2.5% = 693)
|
c(97.5% = 7450)
|
| 54 | 8:42 AM | 1532 |
c(2.5% = 440)
|
c(97.5% = 11591)
|
| 55 | 8:42 AM | 2720 |
c(2.5% = 943)
|
c(97.5% = 15334)
|
| 56 | 8:42 AM | 3823 |
c(2.5% = 1528)
|
c(97.5% = 16509)
|
| 57 | 8:42 AM | 2826 |
c(2.5% = 1269)
|
c(97.5% = 9476)
|
| 58 | 8:42 AM | 4981 |
c(2.5% = 2100)
|
c(97.5% = 19467)
|
| 59 | 8:42 AM | 1458 |
c(2.5% = 1022)
|
c(97.5% = 3616)
|
| 60 | 8:42 AM | 1196 |
c(2.5% = 802)
|
c(97.5% = 3003)
|
| 61 | 8:42 AM | 1556 |
c(2.5% = 986)
|
c(97.5% = 3629)
|
| 62 | 8:42 AM | 2129 |
c(2.5% = 708)
|
c(97.5% = 13049)
|
| 63 | 8:42 AM | 2725 |
c(2.5% = 1407)
|
c(97.5% = 7644)
|
| 64 | 8:42 AM | 1688 |
c(2.5% = 669)
|
c(97.5% = 7768)
|
| 65 | 8:42 AM | 2372 |
c(2.5% = 1101)
|
c(97.5% = 9407)
|
| 66 | 8:42 AM | 4358 |
c(2.5% = 2103)
|
c(97.5% = 13317)
|
Raw Submissions
| Time of Vote | Precinct | Voter Number |
| 7:10 AM | 5107 | 2 |
| 7:41 AM | 0537 | 24 |
| 7:42 AM | 0501 | 14 |
| 7:43 AM | 0828 | 33 |
| 7:03 AM | 2714 | 2 |
| 7:40 AM | 1508 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:25 AM | 0214 | 16 |
| 7:56 AM | 3636 | 33 |
| 7:13 AM | 0218 | 9 |
| 8:07 AM | 4603 | 27 |
| 8:16 AM | 0218 | 60 |
| 8:18 AM | 0222 | 68 |
| 8:10 AM | 1810 | 36 |
| 8:20 AM | 3635 | 57 |
| 8:30 AM | 3110 | 55 |
| 8:32 AM | 0532 | 69 |
| 8:30 AM | 2707 | 45 |
| 8:32 AM | 2702 | 48 |
| 8:15 AM | 3901 | 52 |
| 8:15 AM | 3640 | 64 |
| 8:38 AM | 3638 | 55 |
| 8:38 AM | 3637 | 31 |
| 8:42 AM | 0525 | 64 |
| 8:40 AM | 0501 | 36 |
| 7:30 AM | 0202 | 28 |
| 8:40 AM | 0537 | 56 |
| 7:01 AM | 2504 | 112 |
| 8:12 AM | 4616 | 41 |
| 8:35 AM | 3909 | 65 |
Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions