Live 2020 Election Turnout Tracker

Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.

First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.

Live Results

As of 8:42 AM, 31 voters in 12 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 120,636 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 69,587 - 393,236). In addition, 342,044 mail-in ballots have already been returned, and 93,385 are still outstanding.

Maps

I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.

Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In)

In-Person Turnout

Mail-In Requests

Mail-In Ballots Returned

Raw Responses (for debugging)

Submissions

Data Tables

For those of you who like tables with numbers.

Estimated Turnout by Ward
ward time_of_day turnout turnout_p025 turnout_p975
01 8:42 AM 1618 c(2.5% = 1172) c(97.5% = 2662)
02 8:42 AM 2573 c(2.5% = 1874) c(97.5% = 4042)
03 8:42 AM 1334 c(2.5% = 851) c(97.5% = 3776)
04 8:42 AM 1324 c(2.5% = 769) c(97.5% = 4082)
05 8:42 AM 3605 c(2.5% = 2534) c(97.5% = 6217)
06 8:42 AM 794 c(2.5% = 610) c(97.5% = 1786)
07 8:42 AM 1023 c(2.5% = 235) c(97.5% = 12323)
08 8:42 AM 3852 c(2.5% = 2710) c(97.5% = 6670)
09 8:42 AM 1876 c(2.5% = 1379) c(97.5% = 3228)
10 8:42 AM 1648 c(2.5% = 1246) c(97.5% = 3436)
11 8:42 AM 845 c(2.5% = 481) c(97.5% = 3006)
12 8:42 AM 1310 c(2.5% = 882) c(97.5% = 3281)
13 8:42 AM 1229 c(2.5% = 779) c(97.5% = 3477)
14 8:42 AM 504 c(2.5% = 376) c(97.5% = 1005)
15 8:42 AM 1984 c(2.5% = 1487) c(97.5% = 3164)
16 8:42 AM 757 c(2.5% = 374) c(97.5% = 3441)
17 8:42 AM 1551 c(2.5% = 995) c(97.5% = 4240)
18 8:42 AM 1485 c(2.5% = 984) c(97.5% = 2575)
19 8:42 AM 752 c(2.5% = 243) c(97.5% = 6457)
20 8:42 AM 745 c(2.5% = 293) c(97.5% = 8262)
21 8:42 AM 4917 c(2.5% = 2817) c(97.5% = 10303)
22 8:42 AM 1943 c(2.5% = 1556) c(97.5% = 3395)
23 8:42 AM 1442 c(2.5% = 671) c(97.5% = 5484)
24 8:42 AM 973 c(2.5% = 568) c(97.5% = 2572)
25 8:42 AM 1763 c(2.5% = 590) c(97.5% = 8542)
26 8:42 AM 2076 c(2.5% = 1066) c(97.5% = 5386)
27 8:42 AM 1754 c(2.5% = 825) c(97.5% = 7460)
28 8:42 AM 783 c(2.5% = 399) c(97.5% = 3494)
29 8:42 AM 769 c(2.5% = 514) c(97.5% = 2915)
30 8:42 AM 1320 c(2.5% = 1132) c(97.5% = 2032)
31 8:42 AM 1413 c(2.5% = 930) c(97.5% = 2466)
32 8:42 AM 1211 c(2.5% = 628) c(97.5% = 4472)
33 8:42 AM 1255 c(2.5% = 331) c(97.5% = 10384)
34 8:42 AM 2570 c(2.5% = 1838) c(97.5% = 5393)
35 8:42 AM 2062 c(2.5% = 943) c(97.5% = 7646)
36 8:42 AM 2022 c(2.5% = 1447) c(97.5% = 4023)
37 8:42 AM 841 c(2.5% = 398) c(97.5% = 3866)
38 8:42 AM 1483 c(2.5% = 1009) c(97.5% = 3358)
39 8:42 AM 4383 c(2.5% = 2261) c(97.5% = 10118)
40 8:42 AM 2542 c(2.5% = 1529) c(97.5% = 6237)
41 8:42 AM 2001 c(2.5% = 681) c(97.5% = 11562)
42 8:42 AM 1352 c(2.5% = 582) c(97.5% = 5703)
43 8:42 AM 1096 c(2.5% = 417) c(97.5% = 6182)
44 8:42 AM 894 c(2.5% = 517) c(97.5% = 2745)
45 8:42 AM 1974 c(2.5% = 800) c(97.5% = 9580)
46 8:42 AM 1517 c(2.5% = 1276) c(97.5% = 2470)
47 8:42 AM 475 c(2.5% = 275) c(97.5% = 1488)
48 8:42 AM 1268 c(2.5% = 715) c(97.5% = 3349)
49 8:42 AM 1443 c(2.5% = 879) c(97.5% = 4035)
50 8:42 AM 2031 c(2.5% = 1610) c(97.5% = 3654)
51 8:42 AM 1317 c(2.5% = 851) c(97.5% = 3706)
52 8:42 AM 1847 c(2.5% = 1437) c(97.5% = 3813)
53 8:42 AM 1725 c(2.5% = 693) c(97.5% = 7450)
54 8:42 AM 1532 c(2.5% = 440) c(97.5% = 11591)
55 8:42 AM 2720 c(2.5% = 943) c(97.5% = 15334)
56 8:42 AM 3823 c(2.5% = 1528) c(97.5% = 16509)
57 8:42 AM 2826 c(2.5% = 1269) c(97.5% = 9476)
58 8:42 AM 4981 c(2.5% = 2100) c(97.5% = 19467)
59 8:42 AM 1458 c(2.5% = 1022) c(97.5% = 3616)
60 8:42 AM 1196 c(2.5% = 802) c(97.5% = 3003)
61 8:42 AM 1556 c(2.5% = 986) c(97.5% = 3629)
62 8:42 AM 2129 c(2.5% = 708) c(97.5% = 13049)
63 8:42 AM 2725 c(2.5% = 1407) c(97.5% = 7644)
64 8:42 AM 1688 c(2.5% = 669) c(97.5% = 7768)
65 8:42 AM 2372 c(2.5% = 1101) c(97.5% = 9407)
66 8:42 AM 4358 c(2.5% = 2103) c(97.5% = 13317)

Raw Submissions

Submitted Data
Time of Vote Precinct Voter Number
7:10 AM 5107 2
7:41 AM 0537 24
7:42 AM 0501 14
7:43 AM 0828 33
7:03 AM 2714 2
7:40 AM 1508 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:25 AM 0214 16
7:56 AM 3636 33
7:13 AM 0218 9
8:07 AM 4603 27
8:16 AM 0218 60
8:18 AM 0222 68
8:10 AM 1810 36
8:20 AM 3635 57
8:30 AM 3110 55
8:32 AM 0532 69
8:30 AM 2707 45
8:32 AM 2702 48
8:15 AM 3901 52
8:15 AM 3640 64
8:38 AM 3638 55
8:38 AM 3637 31
8:42 AM 0525 64
8:40 AM 0501 36
7:30 AM 0202 28
8:40 AM 0537 56
7:01 AM 2504 112
8:12 AM 4616 41
8:35 AM 3909 65

Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions